Market Outlooks

PitchBook's semi-annual and annual outlook reports deliver forward-looking analysis of private markets — tracking deal activity, capital flows, and macroeconomic conditions across private equity, venture capital, and other key sectors. Built on PitchBook's proprietary data, each report helps investors, fund managers, and operators benchmark expectations, spot shifts in capital allocation, and identify emerging global opportunities.

2026 Midyear Updates
US VC
US PE
EMEA
APAC

US Venture Capital Outlook: Midyear Update

This analyst note updates the predictions made in our 2026 US Venture Capital Outlook and analyzes how these forecast trends within deals, exits, and fundraising will play out during H2.

  • $1.8T
    Total IPO value of H1
  • 3.4x
    H1 2026 IPO value growth over full-year 2021 IPO value

CONTRIBUTORS

Kyle Stanford

Kyle Stanford, CAIA, is the director of US venture capital research at PitchBook, where he oversees a team of analysts covering the US venture market. He has developed PitchBook’s coverage areas within nontraditional VC investment, venture debt and VC ecosystem development, as well as our breakout of the venture growth stage of the VC market. He also contributes to quarterly core reports, produces thematic analyst notes on various topics and speaks at industry conferences such as SXSW and Collision. He is regularly cited in top-tier publications, including The Wall Street Journal, The Financial Times, and Axios, and has been featured in segments on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Yahoo Finance. Prior to this role, he worked on PitchBook’s publishing team, building custom reports across all asset classes and managing the development of analyst core research reports. 

Stanford received a bachelor’s degree in history from the University of Washington and is a CAIA charterholder. He is based in PitchBook’s Seattle office. 

Susan Hu

Susan Hu is a quantitative research analyst at PitchBook, where she contributes to data-driven research across private market asset classes. Prior to this role, Hu worked as a senior data analyst, supporting the US venture capital research team at PitchBook. She has contributed to the development of PitchBook’s breakout of the venture growth and pre-seed stages of the VC market.

Hu received a master’s degree in information systems and a bachelor’s degree in economics from the University of Washington. She also holds a master’s degree in data science from the University of Texas. She is based in PitchBook’s Seattle office.

Emily Zheng

Emily Zheng is a senior research analyst at PitchBook, where she covers major trends and evolving themes in US venture capital through quarterly core reports and thematic analyst notes. Prior to this role, Zheng was a private banker at J.P. Morgan, where she provided wealth management solutions and advice to affluent individuals, families, endowments, and foundations throughout the Pacific Northwest.

Zheng received a bachelor’s degree, magna cum laude, in Public Policy Analysis and Economics from Pomona College. She also holds the Securities Industry Essentials, Series 7, Series 63, and Series 65 licenses. She is based in PitchBook’s Seattle office.

Kaidi Gao

Kaidi Gao is a senior venture capital research analyst at PitchBook, where she contributes to the VC team’s core reports and produces quarterly thematic analyst notes on various topics. Her research and expertise focus primarily on venture debt, VC in the APAC region and seed- and early-stage dealmaking. Prior to this role, Gao worked as a Senior Data Operations Associate, overseeing PitchBook’s VC-backed company dataset.

Gao received a master’s degree in Near Eastern Studies from Princeton University and a bachelor’s degree in Asian and Middle Eastern Studies with a focus on Arabic from Duke University. She is based in PitchBook’s Seattle office.

ADDITIONAL RESEARCH

Global Unicorn Tracker

Global Unicorn Tracker: Hold Your Horses

The Q3 2026 Global Unicorn Tracker provides a comprehensive analysis of VC-backed companies valued at $1 billion or more, covering deal activity, valuations, exits, and the Private Business Quality framework and offering perspective on the biggest trends shaping the unicorn landscape.
Private Capital Return Barometers

Private Capital Return Barometers

The Private Capital Return Barometers provide a data-driven, factor-based assessment of US private market fund performance, offering timely estimates of quarterly returns and insights into market conditions across asset classes.
US VC Valuations Report

US VC Valuations Report

The Q3 2026 US VC Valuations Report delves into the sizes and valuations of the quarter’s US VC deals and examines the most recent returns data, highlighting deals with nontraditional investor participation and examining valuations by select sectors.

US Private Equity Outlook: Midyear Update

This analyst note updates the predictions made in our 2026 US Private Equity Outlook and analyzes how these forecast trends within deals, exits, and fundraising will play out during H2.

  • 20.3%
    Percentage of 2021 buyouts that have exited
  • -50%
    The proportion of 2021 buyouts that have exited is just half that of 2017 buyouts

CONTRIBUTORS

Jinny Choi

Jinny Choi is a senior private equity analyst at PitchBook, covering both US PE and global M&A markets with a focus on PE exit activity, cross-border M&A and antitrust risk. Choi’s insights have been cited in numerous publications including Business Insider, The Wall Street Journal and Private Equity Wire. Prior to joining PitchBook, Choi was a senior investment analyst at the Conrad N. Hilton Foundation, where she monitored existing investment managers, evaluated prospective investment opportunities in all asset classes, and conducted portfolio and strategy analysis.

Choi received a bachelor’s degree in international relations with an emphasis in global business from the University of Southern California. She is based in PitchBook’s Seattle office.

Kyle Walters

Kyle Walters is a research analyst at PitchBook, where he contributes to the firm’s private equity research. Prior to joining PitchBook, Walters was an M&A analyst at a boutique buyout firm.

Walters holds a bachelor’s degree in finance and business analytics from Le Moyne College. He is based in PitchBook’s New York office.

ADDITIONAL RESEARCH

Aerospace & Defense Quarterly

Aerospace & Defense Report: Defense on the Rise

The Q3 2026 Aerospace & Defense Report provides in-depth analysis of industry trends and evolving PE investment strategies, including deals data and maps of key PE-backed companies and investors.
Food & Beverage CPG Quarterly

Food & Beverage CPG Report: Sponsors Absorb Corporate Carveouts as Exits Stall

The Q3 2026 Food & Beverage CPG Report provides in-depth analysis of industry trends and evolving PE investment strategies, including deals data and maps of key PE-backed companies and investors.
Global Fund Performance Report

Global Fund Performance Report (with preliminary Q2 2026 data)

The Q1 2026 Global Fund Performance Report (with preliminary Q2 2026 data) offers commentary on the salient trends across private fund strategies’ performance.

EMEA Private Capital Outlook: Midyear Update

This analyst note updates the predictions made in our 2026 EMEA Private Capital Outlook and analyzes how these forecast trends within deals, exits, and fundraising will play out during H2.

  • 60.2%
    European AI deal value as percentage of total deal value
  • €21.3 billion
    H1 2026 AI deal value has nearly surpassed prior full-year totals

CONTRIBUTORS

Nalin Patel

Nalin Patel is the director of EMEA private capital research at PitchBook, where he oversees a team of analysts covering private markets in the EMEA region. Prior to joining PitchBook, Patel was an analyst at Goldman Sachs in London, conducting due diligence for investment banking transactions. Patel’s coverage included the Merchant Banking Division and the European Special Situations Group, where he focused on private equity, venture capital, and debt transactions, as well as investments in startups, real estate, technology, and growth capital.

Patel received a master’s degree in civil engineering from the University of Bristol. He is based in PitchBook’s London office.

Navina Rajan

Navina Rajan is a senior research analyst at PitchBook, covering EMEA Private Capital. Prior to PitchBook, she was a lead equity research analyst at Morgan Stanley, where she covered single stock and thematic research over the chemicals, internet, and food retail sectors. Rajan received a first-class bachelor’s degree in economics from Warwick University. She is based in PitchBook’s London office.

Nicolas Moura, CFA, CAIA

Nicolas Moura, CFA, CAIA, is a senior EMEA private capital research analyst at PitchBook, where he covers the PE and VC markets in Europe. He publishes quarterly core reports as well as analyst notes on various topics. Prior to PitchBook, Moura worked as an equity research analyst first at Berenberg Bank and then at Mirabaud, transitioning from being a sector analyst to a generalist.

Moura received a bachelor’s degree in economics and business from University College of London (UCL) and a master’s degree in finance from Imperial College Business School. He is based in PitchBook’s London office.

ADDITIONAL RESEARCH

UK Market Snapshot

UK Market Snapshot

The Q3 2026 UK Market Snapshot provides an overview of macroeconomic and microeconomic trends in the region spanning both private and public markets.
Italy Market Snapshot

Italy Market Snapshot

The Q3 2026 Italy Market Snapshot provides an overview of macroeconomic and microeconomic trends in the region spanning both private and public markets.
France Market Snapshot

France Market Snapshot

The Q3 2026 France Market Snapshot provides an overview of macroeconomic and microeconomic trends in the region spanning both private and public markets.

APAC Private Capital Outlook: Midyear Update

This analyst note updates the predictions made in our 2026 APAC Private Capital Outlook and analyzes how these forecast trends within deals, exits, and fundraising will play out during H2.

  • 18.5%
    Proportion of APAC PE NAV that has been distributed over the past 12 months
  • 18.8%
    Average APAC PE distribution yield

CONTRIBUTORS

Ansel Tan

Ansel Tan is the director of private capital research at PitchBook, where he leads coverage of private markets across the Asia-Pacific region. Prior to joining PitchBook, he was the Regional Head of Product Management Asia at Partners Group, a Swiss-based global private markets investment firm, where he was responsible for the lifecycle management of global closed-ended funds and separately managed accounts for Asian clients. Before that, he held analyst roles at L Catterton Asia and DBS Bank.

Tan holds a bachelor’s degree in economics from Nanyang Technological University and is based in PitchBook’s Singapore office.

Melanie Tng

Melanie Tng is a research analyst at PitchBook, where she covers private capital trends across the Asia-Pacific region. Her work focuses on major thematic developments in APAC private equity, venture capital, and private credit.

Prior to joining PitchBook, Melanie was an economist at Centennial Asia Advisors, where she conducted macroeconomic and political research across key Asian markets. She holds a double degree in Economics and Social Science from Singapore Management University. She is based in PitchBook’s Singapore office.

ADDITIONAL RESEARCH

US PE Breakdown

Global PE First Look

The First Looks are a preliminary release of top-line private equity industry figures for the global, US, European, and Asia-Pacific markets, intended as a first-to-market source of key datasets and findings.
Venture Monitor

Global VC First Look

The First Looks are a preliminary release of top-line venture industry figures for the global, US, European, and Asia-Pacific markets, intended as a first-to-market source of key datasets and findings.
Greater China Private Capital Breakdown

Greater China Private Capital Breakdown

The 2026 Greater China Private Capital Breakdown spans datasets covering Greater China’s VC and PE deals by sector and region, as well as exit and fundraising activity.

Subscribe to our newsletters for the latest market outlooks and investment forecasts