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2026

US Credit Market Outlook

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The US Credit Market Outlook provides a forward-looking analysis of key credit markets, including leveraged loans, private credit, CLOs, distressed credit, high-yield bonds, and investment-grade bonds. It emphasizes expected trends in volume, spread movements, and overall market dynamics for the upcoming year.

2026 US Credit Market Outlook

  • Leveraged Loans: Market set for modest growth, more M&A
  • Private Credit: More LBOs, steady-to-wider spreads
  • CLOs: Volume to remain strong, spreads to widen modestly
  • High-Yield: Volume to tick higher amid looming maturity wall
  • Distressed Credit: Bifurcation, maturity wall promise busy year
  • High-Grade: New-money hunger stokes volume forecasts, leverage angst
  • PE survey signals positive outlook for 2026, with AI bringing risks, rewards