For 2012-2014 vintages, for example, rookie PE funds have so far produced a median IRR of 17.1%, versus a 10.8% median for follow-on funds. TVPI multiples are also better: The median TVPI multiple for 2009-2011 first-time funds is 1.54x against 1.33x for follow-ons. For 2012-2014 first-time and follow-on funds, the figures are 1.40x and 1.19x, respectively.
A number of factors are at play here. First and foremost, new managers often pursue niche strategies that are frequently bypassed by more experienced, generalist investors. Niche strategies tend to result in smaller deal sizes and often lower purchase-price multiples, a built-in advantage for modestly sized rookie funds. Motivation is another factor, not only to gain street cred but also to get money back—out of necessity, new managers’ personal net worth often makes up an outsized contribution to their inaugural funds. A third factor, though harder to quantify, is the maturity and age of the PE industry itself. Many of the industry’s pioneers are still at the helm, and a number of talented managers beneath them have recently opted to strike out on their own rather than contribute to the bottlenecks at larger, more established firms.
As the positive results pour in for first-time fund returns, we wouldn’t be surprised to see the trend continue indefinitely, or at least until the fundraising boom dies down.
Note: This column originally appeared in The Lead Left.
Check out more data on first-time PE funds in our latest PE analyst note.